Tuesday, December 9, 2014

What Real Estate Trends to Expect in 2015

My website: www.sandralew.com

By the end of 2015, millennial buyers may represent the largest group of home buyers, taking over from Generation X. They prefer smaller units closer to the urban core.  For years millennial buyers preferred renting over homeownership but this may change next year. Prices have returned to a normalcy with a growth rate of around 3 percent predicted for next year rather than the 6 percent seen recently. This affords buyers the time to choose more wisely & be picky with less urgency. People with regular jobs and 20% down finally will have a chance to get into the housing market. Baby boomers continue to downsize as well selling their larger homes to be closer to family which allows for more inventory. This is great news as the housing markets continues to recover.

What Real Estate Trends to Expect in 2015

As housing recovers, prices in many markets across the U.S. have shot up. In fact, RealtyTrac reported that the median sale price of U.S. single-family homes and condos in October had reached its highest level since September 2008. Price appreciation and the lure of foreclosures created a feeding frenzy for real estate investors willing to pay cash and made it harder for traditional buyers to compete. 

But experts say that 2015 will be marked by a return to normalcy and balance for real estate markets across the country. Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow.com, predicts that home value growth will slow to around 3 percent per year instead of the 6 percent seen recently, and that will make real estate less attractive to many investors. "It's been a tough market for buyers," he says. "I think it's going to get easier in 2015. Negotiating power will move back to buyers and away from sellers. It will be a much more balanced market." (Too many buyers and too little inventory, or the opposite, contribute to an unbalanced market.) 

Redfin.com's chief economist Nela Richardson agrees. "It's been a clear pattern that the investor activity has been shrinking over time," she says. "Investors like to go in where they can buy low and sell high. Price growth is starting to slow dramatically, so they can't sell much higher than what they buy. Investment property is less compelling in 2014 going into 2015." 

More inventory and less competition from investors means even traditional buyers are becoming "more picky, and they're willing to let a home go if they don't think it's a good fit for them," 
Richardson adds. "Buyers are less worried that they'll miss out on something. Houses are more like buses now. If you miss one, another one will come along." Whereas buyers might waive contingencies in the recent past to make their offer more attractive to sellers, they're now more likely to insist on contingencies for financing and inspections. 

That said, foreign investors may still find high-end American real estate appealing because of economic turbulence in their home countries. For instance, the U.K. is toying with a so-called "mansion tax" that would apply to those who own properties worth more than 2 million British pounds (or over $3 million), and China has placed restrictions on homebuying in large cities. Some foreign investors also worry about currency fluctuations devaluing money they hold in their home countries. "That section of the market is still all cash -- people buying up these huge places because it's safer here than in their own countries," says Herman Chan, real estate broker with Bay Sotheby's International Realty in San Francisco. 

Buyers from outside the U.S. may use their properties as a rental, a pied-à-terre (a secondary residence used for travel) or a residence for children studying at American colleges. But for buyers looking for more moderately priced homes, 2015 could offer a respite from bidding wars and all-cash offers. "People who've been on the fence about selling are finally going to pull the trigger, which is great for buyers [because it creates more inventory]," Chan says. "Now people with regular jobs and 20 percent down finally have a chance to get into the market." 

For years, many millennials have postponed homeownership in favor of renting, but that may also change next year as a growing number of Gen Yers start families and seek more stability. "By the end of 2015, millennial buyers will represent the largest group of homebuyers, taking over from Generation X," Humphries says. "They prefer smaller units closer to the urban core, so it will be interesting to see whether they follow the time-honored path towards the periphery of the metro." 

Baby boomers are also likely to make a move in 2015. Chan says he's "gotten so many calls from baby boomers recently saying, 'We're downsizing, and we're moving to be closer to our grandkids or our son or daughter.'" With fewer homes underwater, they're finally in a position to sell. 

While mortgage rates may not remain at the historic lows seen recently, more people may qualify for home loans as issues like foreclosures or short sales age out of their credit reports and Freddy Mac and Fannie Mae ease mortgage eligibility. Freddy and Fannie recently announced a new mortgage program for buyers with a down payment as low as 3 percent. "Freddy and Fannie have always been the industry leaders, and they're saying, 'It's OK to lend to people who don't have 5 percent down. It's OK to extend credit in a reasonable and safe manner," Richardson says.


Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Google buys 12 acres in Playa Vista, vastly expands presence in L.A.

My website: www.sandralew.com

Good news for Silicon Beach. Google is expanding again this time in Playa Vista near Marina Del Rey. This is phenomenal as it further makes and brands the area as the tech and innovation capital of Los Angeles. It's a real key move and will continue to attract talented people to the area as the entire area is already booming. Google is projected to bring as many as 6,000 well paid workers to the area. Yahoo is also expected to lease 130,000 square feet of office space in a separate deal in Playa Vista too. Wow! Lots of positive news for the area.

Google buys 12 acres in Playa Vista, vastly expands presence in L.A.

Howard Hughes hangar 

Google is expected to lease the historic hangar where aviator Howard Hughes built his famous “Spruce Goose” airplane. (Annie Wells, Los Angeles Times)

 

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

High-end home sales are surging in Southern California

My website: www.sandralew.com

Beach close properties are still the hottest!! While housing market is a bit sluggish the high end is hopping!! The number of homes bought for $2 million or more in recent months has been the highest ever on record. Low mortgage rates and wealthy international investors contribute as well as does doing well. California's real estate market is a bargain compared to New York or London.

Quotes:
"High-end home sales are surging in "Silicon Beach," too, with tech entrepreneurs and Bay Area transplants scooping up multimillion-dollar homes in Santa Monica, Venice and Marina del Rey. Many of the buyers work in the area, said Miller, and prefer walkable neighborhoods, relatively close to work, to the traditional hubs of Westside glitz."

 "Then there's the formerly sleepy South Bay. The average sales price in Manhattan Beach through the first nine months of the year topped $2.2 million, said Barry Sulpor at Shorewood Realtors. That's up from $1.85 million in the same period last year. Even empty lots in the beach town's "Tree Section" are going for $1.3 million."

As you get closer to the beach prices go higher. There seems to be no end in rising prices for the high end market.

High-end home sales are surging in Southern California

Luxury home sales sizzle 

 

Thursday, November 20, 2014

5 Real Estate Predictions for 2015

My website: www.sandralew.com

Good news! The US economy is predicted to have a 3 percent growth rate in 2015. Consumers are more upbeat and businesses confident which help foster improving economic growth.This optimism produces positive effects on our economy by adding more and higher paying jobs which provide the financial support for a continued sunny housing outlook.

5 Real Estate Predictions for 2015

Expect the home-purchase market to strengthen along with the economy in 2015, according to Freddie Mac's U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for November.

"The good news for 2015 is that the U.S. economy appears well-poised to sustain about a 3 percent growth rate in 2015 — only the second year in the past decade with growth at that pace or better," says Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist.

 "Governmental fiscal drag has turned into fiscal stimulus; lower energy costs support consumer spending and business investment; further easing of credit conditions for business and real estate lending support commerce and development; and consumers are more upbeat and businesses are more confident, all of which portend faster economic growth in 2015.

And with that, the economy will produce more and better-paying jobs, providing the financial wherewithal to support household formations and housing activity."

Freddie Mac economists have made the following projections in housing for the new year:
  1. Mortgage rates: Interest rates will likely be on the rise next year. In recent weeks, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has dipped below 4 percent. But by next year, Freddie projects mortgage rates to average 4.6 percent and inch up to 5 percent by the end of the year.
  2. Home prices: By the time 2014 wraps up, home appreciation will likely have slowed to 4.5 percent this year from 9.3 percent last year. Appreciation is expected to drop further to an average 3 percent in 2015. "Continued house-price appreciation and rising mortgage rates will dampen affordability for home buyers," according to Freddie economists. "Historically speaking, that's moving from 'very high' levels of affordability to 'high' levels of affordability."
  3. Housing starts: Homebuilding is expected to ramp up in the new year, projected to rise by 20 percent from this year. That will likely help total home sales to climb by about 5 percent, reaching the best sales pace in eight years.
  4. Single-family originations: Mortgage originations of single-family homes will likely slip by an additional 8 percent, which can be attributed to a steep drop in refinancing volume. Refinancings are expected to make up only 23 percent of originations in 2015; they had been making up more than half in recent years.
  5. Multi-family mortgage originations: Mortgage originations for the multi-family sector have surged about 60 percent between 2011 and 2014. Increases are expected to continue in 2015, projected to rise about 14 percent.
 Source: http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2014/11/18/5-real-estate-predictions-for-2015

Thursday, November 13, 2014

The 10 most expensive real estate markets in the US

My website: www.sandralew.com

California's peninsula on the bay area as well as Newport in Southern California made up the nation's top 9 out of 10 real estate markets for being the most expensive. Actually California made a virtual sweep for top markets that had at least 10 listings for 4bedroom, 2 bath homes which the study was based upon. Many high tech companies are located in these areas which continue to contribute to have positive economic effects. Location matters...

The 10 most expensive real estate markets in the US

 Robert Frank - CNBC November 13, 2014

Visions of America | UIG | Getty Images
 
If you think Apple or Facebook stock is expensive, look at the price of real estate near their headquarters.

Los Altos, California, in the heart of Silicon Valley, is now the most expensive real estate market in the country, according to a new report from Coldwell Banker. The average four-bedroom, two-bath home in Los Altos costs $1,963,100—about 30 times the average cost of a home in Cleveland, the country's most affordable market.

"The continued success of many tech companies throughout Silicon Valley has brought markets such as Los Altos into focus," said Joe Brown, managing broker of Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Los Altos.

In fact, California has a virtual sweep on the 10 most expensive markets in the country, claiming all but one of the top 10 spots. Granted, Coldwell didn't include New York City in its data, so the results are skewed.

But the list shows just how big the economic ripple effects of the tech boom have become in California.

10 most expensive real estate markets in the U.S.

Rank
City
Average price
1 Los Altos, CA $1,963,100
2 Newport Beach, CA $1,904,083
3 Saratoga, CA $1,867,980
4 Redwood City/Woodside, CA $1,430,329
5 Los Gatos, CA $1,307,408
6 San Francisco, CA $1,294,250
7 Sunnyvale, CA $1,267,185
8 Moraga, CA $1,129,300
9 San Mateo, CA $1,093,346
10 Wellesley, MA $1,090,089
Source: Coldwell Banker
 
For the report, Coldwell Banker pulled average listing prices of four-bedroom, two-bathroom real estate properties on coldwellbanker.com between January 2014 and June 2014. Markets without at least 10 four-bedroom, two-bathroom listings on the website (such as New York City) between January 2014 and June 2014 were excluded from the ranking.  
 

Friday, November 7, 2014

Developer selectively signing up tenants for El Segundo mall

My website: www.sandralew.com

El Segundo has another new mall coming to town next summer.  "This is a really affluent, educated, sophisticated pocket of Southern California " which borders on Manhattan Beach thus developers have found it challenging to find the right mix to appeal to the area that already offers so much.
This new location is between two existing established malls (one across Rosecrans in Manhattan Beach Mall and the other just to the North in El Segundo Plaza) and down the street (Rosecrans) from several mid to upper scale restaurants. This rules out a number of stores/restaurants... The selective list of signed tenants thus far are Lucky Brand, Atheleta, Mendocino Farms, Superba Food & Bread, ShopHouse and True Food Kitchen. Looks to me like the mix should be another success!

Developer selectively signing up tenants for El Segundo mall

Developer is signing up tenants for El Segundo mall 

Federal Realty Investment Trust is building the Point, shown in an artist's rendering, at the northeast corner of Sepulveda Boulevard and Rosecrans Avenue. (Federal Realty)

By Roger Vincent; November 5, 2014 5:00 am

An $80-million outdoor shopping and dining complex under construction in El Segundo has signed up nearly half of the tenants expected for the mall when it opens next summer.

Federal Realty Investment Trust is building the lushly landscaped center, called the Point, at the northeast corner of Sepulveda Boulevard and Rosecrans Avenue that it hopes will become a meeting place for South Bay families and workers.

As designed by Architects Orange, the Point will include a large outdoor grass courtyard, a children's play area, casual seating and fire pits.
So far, the developers have selected a mix of popular but not nationally prevalent eateries, retailers and an exclusive fitness studio.

It has been challenging to find tenants likely to appeal to the demanding South Bay audience, said Jeff Kreshek, head of leasing on the West Coast for Rockville, Md.-based Federal Realty.
"This is a really affluent, educated, sophisticated pocket of Southern California," Kreshek said.
Athleta, an upscale fitness fashion brand for women owned by Gap Inc., will sell apparel and gear for yoga and seasonal sports such as swimming and running. Athleta will also offer free in-store fitness classes with local instructors.

Los Angeles denim and fashion giant Lucky Brand will open its largest store in the country at the Point in what is intended to be a first-of-its-kind flagship location, Kreshek said. Also on the fashion front will be a location of Orange County retailer No Rest for Bridget, which specializes in trendy, affordable apparel for career women.
For diners, the mall landlords have signed Los Angeles artisan sandwich maker Mendocino Farms and Superba Food & Bread, a coffeehouse, wine bar, restaurant and marketplace created by the founder of Pitfire Artisan Pizza.

True Food Kitchen, created by boutique restaurant group Fox Restaurant Concepts, will offer dishes based on the principles of doctor and author Andrew Weil. Another Fox Restaurants eatery will be North Italia, a traditional Italian restaurant.

ShopHouse, which was developed by Chipotle, will serve an Asian interpretation of fast food. Other retailers are in negotiations for the remaining space, Kreshek said.

"We are trying to curate the right mix of tenants," he said. "We expect to open very close to full."

Source: http://www.latimes.com/business/realestate/la-fi-el-segundo-tenants-20141105-story.html

Thursday, October 30, 2014

In Real Estate, Your Personality Makes You Predictable

My website: www.sandralew.com

Personality traits may predict your real estate home buying decisions of buying vs. renting as well as preference for fixed rate mortgages vs. adjustable rate loans.

In Real Estate, Your Personality Makes You Predictable

Are you neurotic or agreeable? The answer matters, since your personality affects your home-buying decisions.

Are you efficient, organized, thorough, diligent and detail oriented? Then you’re a good candidate for a fixed-rate mortgage.

A new study finds that personality traits can help predict our real-estate decisions. Similarly, a second study finds that in states with a relatively predominant personality type, real-estate decisions often reflect that personality.

Researchers in the first study administered a widely used personality-assessment test to a diverse sample of 1,138 respondents. The test asks takers to rate themselves on a scale from 1 to 5 on questions that measure standard personality traits: Openness (think: artistic and imaginative), Conscientiousness (efficient, organized), Extroversion (sociable, energetic), Agreeableness (forgiving, undemanding) and Neuroticism (tense, moody).

Once the researchers established the personality types of the respondents, they then asked five questions about their real-estate preferences, such as the type and duration of a mortgage, whether to rent or buy, and whether to invest in real estate or stocks. (The findings were controlled for variables like level of education, homeownership, age, gender and income.)



The results showed “a very solid correlation” between personality and real-estate choices, said co-author Danny Ben-Shahar, a professor at Tel Aviv University. Neurotic people, for example, prefer homeownership over renting. When they do buy, they opt for a mortgage with a lower loan-to-value ratio, which means the loan amount is low relative to the value of the home. Prof. Ben-Shahar suspects this is because neurotic people are more averse to risk.

In another example, conscientious people preferred investing in real estate over stocks. One explanation: They are more willing to postpone gratification and invest in something that is considered less risky and offers diversification to a portfolio.

The overall findings will be published in the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics.
In a second study by the same team, researchers looked at existing results of the same personality test, but from a much larger sample—about 1.6 million people. Predominant personality types were then matched with housing data from the U.S. Census and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Here, too, the personality made a difference on real-estate choices.

States with relatively high marks for Openness—South Carolina, for instance—tend to choose fixed-rate mortgages. The more Agreeable ones, like Tennessee, prefer owning to renting. Neurotic states, like New York, choose lower loan-to-value ratios on the mortgage.

This isn't to say that every state’s real-estate profile lines up exactly with personality traits, Prof. Ben-Shahar said. Still, an individual personality can have real consequences on the way we choose to live, he noted.

Source: http://online.wsj.com/articles/in-real-estate-your-personality-makes-your-predictable-1414595055